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Assessment of Socio-Economic and Climate Change Effects on Water Resources and Agriculture in Southern and Eastern Mediterranean countries

This study aims at assessing the socio-economic and environmental effects of different societal and human development scenarios and climate change in the water-scarce southern and eastern Mediterranean. The study develops a two-stage modelling methodology that includes an econometric analysis for the southern and eastern Mediterranean region as a whole and a detailed, integrated socio-ecological assessment focusing on Jordan, Syria and Morocco. The results show that water resources will be under increasing stress in future years.

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MEDPRO TR No 28 WP4a Varela.pdf3.84 MB286351 weeks 5 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Thu, 21/03/2013
Author(s): 
Consuelo Varela-Ortega, Paloma Esteve, Irene Blanco, Gema Carmona, Jorge Ruiz, Tamara Rabah
Institutions: UPM

Convergence and Integration of Banking Sector Regulations in the Euro-Mediterranean area

This analysis of regulatory convergence shows that substantial improvements have been made in the southern and eastern Mediterranean countries (SEMCs), yet they still suffer from key weaknesses in deposit insurance, entry obstacles, political interference and the strength of legal rights. In particular, deposit insurance systems in many SEMCs are not explicit, which could lead to uncertainties in the provision of support to banks in case of default.

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MEDPRO TR No 34 WP6 Ayadi.pdf384.88 KB34005 weeks 3 days ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 19/03/2013
Author(s): 
Rym Ayadi, Emrah Arbak, Willem Pieter De Groen
Institutions: CEPS

Population Scenarios and Policy Implications for Southern Mediterranean Countries, 2010-2050

In this MEDPRO Policy Paper, four population scenarios were derived that describe indicators of demographic behaviour for people living in different future political-economic contexts. The paper explores future trends in i) population growth at regional and national levels, ii) working age populations, and iii) elderly populations.

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MEDPRO PP No 5 WP3 Groenewold.pdf668.16 KB27773 weeks 6 days ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 19/03/2013
Author(s): 
George Groenewold and Joop de Beer
Institutions: NIDI

Dynamics of Bank Efficiency in the EU and Southern Mediterranean: Is there a Convergence?

Against a background of decades of regulatory reforms aimed at fostering integration, promoting competition, efficiency and productivity growth in the financial industry, both in developed and developing countries, in this MEDPRO Technical Report the authors seek to assess the outcomes of these reform processes on the dynamics of bank efficiency – via the estimation of stochastic meta-frontiers – and convergence for a large sample of countries over the period 1997-2010.

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MEDPRO TR No 33 WP6 Casu.pdf564.37 KB298951 weeks 23 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 19/03/2013
Author(s): 
Barbara Casu and Alessandra Ferrari
Institutions: CEPS

MEDPRO Booklet

Funded under the European Commission’s 7th Framework Programme and coordinated by CEPS Senior Fellow Dr. Rym Ayadi, the MEDPRO project started in March 2010, a few months before the Arab Spring unfurled. The three-year project aims to contribute to the reform process in the political and socio-economic agendas of southern and eastern Mediterranean countries by broadening the level of knowledge on the numerous challenges faced by the region.

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MEDPRO_Booklet.pdf1.46 MB15983 hours 35 min ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 26/02/2013
Institutions: CEPS

Financial Development, Bank Efficiency and Economic Growth across the Mediterranean

This MEDPRO Technical Report explores the relationship between financial sector development and economic growth, using a sample of northern and southern Mediterranean countries for the years 1985-2009. The authors included several variables to measure the development of the financial sector to account both for quantity and quality effects. The results indicate that credit to the private sector and bank deposits are negatively associated with growth, which confirms deficiencies in credit allocation in the region and suggests weak financial regulation and supervision.

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MEDPRO TR No 30 WP6 Ayadi.pdf362.57 KB690013 hours 4 min ago
Date of publication: 
Fri, 08/03/2013
Author(s): 
Rym Ayadi, Sami Ben-Naceur, Willem Pieter De Groen, Emrah Arbak
Institutions: CEPS, FEMISE

Scenarios for the Agricultural Sector in the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean

The paper builds predictive scenarios for the agricultural sector of eleven southern and eastern Mediterranean countries (SEMCs), namely Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Palestine, Syria, Tunisia and Turkey. First, it assesses the performance trends of the SEMCs’ agricultural sector, with a focus on production, consumption and trade patterns, incentives, trade protection policies and trade relations with the EU, productivity dynamics and their determinants.

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MEDPRO Rep No 4 WP5 Belghazi.pdf533.01 KB24114 days 18 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 05/03/2013
Author(s): 
Saad Belghazi
Institutions: IMRI

Determinants of Financial Development across the Mediterranean

Casual observation shows that that the financial systems in the southern and eastern Mediterranean are unable (or unwilling) to divert the financial resources that are available to them as funding opportunities to private enterprises. Using a sample of northern and southern Mediterranean countries for the years 1985 to 2009, this study empirically assesses the reasons underlying such conditions.

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MEDPRO TR No 29 WP6 Ayadi.pdf502.34 KB905351 weeks 1 day ago
Date of publication: 
Wed, 27/02/2013
Author(s): 
Rym Ayadi, Emrah Arbak, Sami Ben Naceur, Willem Pieter De Groen
Institutions: CEPS

Economic Development, Trade and Investment in Southern and Eastern Mediterranean Countries: An Agenda towards a Sustainable Transition

This policy paper spells out the policy recommendations that emerge from a series of detailed studies undertaken for MEDPRO Work Package 5 on “Economic development, trade and investment” and presents detailed recommendations for the SEMCs and the EU in the areas of macroeconomic management, trade, investment, private sector development and privatisation, and sectoral policies.

Marek Dabrowski and Luc De Wulf are Fellows at CASE (Center for Social and Economic Research) in Warsaw.

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MEDPRO Rep No 4 WP5 Dabrowski and De Wulf.pdf256.42 KB237951 weeks 1 day ago
Date of publication: 
Fri, 22/02/2013
Author(s): 
Marek Dabrowski, Luc De Wulf
Institutions: CASE

What prospects for transport infrastructure and impacts on growth in southern and eastern Mediterranean countries?

Lack of adequate infrastructure is a significant inhibitor to increased trade of the countries of the Mediterranean region. Bringing their transport infrastructure to standards comparable with countries of a similar per capita GDP will be costly but worthwhile.

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MEDPRO Rep No 3 WP5 Carruthers.pdf2.68 MB182551 weeks 1 day ago
Date of publication: 
Thu, 21/02/2013
Author(s): 
Robin Carruthers
Institutions: CASE