Internal

What Scenarios for the Euro-Mediterranean in 2030 in the Wake of the Post-Arab spring?

In the wake of the Arab Spring, the Southern Mediterranean region has reached a turning point in its history, presenting many opportunities and challenges for the EU. In this MEDPRO Policy Paper, Rym Ayadi and Carlo Sessa explore various possible scenarios that could play out in EU-Mediterranean relations over the next two decades but find, lamentably, that the EU has set itself on a ‘business as usual’ course, leaving the region open to further polarisation and the involvement of other external players.

AttachmentSizeHitsLast download
MEDPRO PP No 2 WP9 Rym Ayadi and Carlo Sessa.pdf465.73 KB46971 day 17 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Fri, 21/10/2011
Author(s): 
Rym Ayadi and Carlo Sessa
Institutions: CEPS, ISIS

State (un)Sustainability in the Southern Mediterranean and Scenarios to 2030: The EU’s Response

In this first MEDPRO project Policy Paper, author Nathalie Tocci considers the concept of sustainability and how it is central to any understanding of Mediterranean politics. Too often confused with stability in policy debates in the Mediterranean region and the West, Tocci argues that not only are these two concepts distinct, with sustainability being broader and deeper than stability, but stability, as interpreted with regard to the regimes in the region, has often run counter to the very conditions that underpin state sustainability.

AttachmentSizeHitsLast download
MEDPRO PP No 1 WP2 Tocci_updated.pdf279.44 KB24729 weeks 1 day ago
Date of publication: 
Mon, 08/08/2011
Author(s): 
Nathalie Tocci
Institutions: IAI

Tourism in the Mediterranean: Scenarios up to 2030

From 1990 to 2010, the 11 countries of the south-eastern Mediterranean region (Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Occupied Palestinian Territory, Syria, Tunisia and Turkey, hereafter SMCs) recorded the highest growth rates in inbound world tourism. In the same period, domestic tourism in these countries also increased rapidly, which is astonishing given the security risks, natural disasters, oil prices rises and economic uncertainties in the region.

AttachmentSizeHitsLast download
MEDPRO TR No 1 WP5 Lanquar Update.pdf522.35 KB40031 day 6 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 26/07/2011
Author(s): 
Robert Lanquar
Institutions: CASE

Syria and Lebanon: Diverging Paths of State Unsustainability

Any analysis of the prospects for stability and sustainability in the states of Syria and Lebanon reveals the strong ties that exist between these two countries and the impact of external influences on their overall development. Their trajectories, while starkly divergent in terms of the challenges confronting them at present, converge on a path of long-term unsustainability.

AttachmentSizeHitsLast download
MEDPRO TR No 6 WP2 Colombo.pdf249 KB32304 days 14 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Thu, 23/06/2011
Author(s): 
Silvia Colombo
Institutions: IAI

Israel and Palestine and State (Un)Sustainability

This report explores the concept of state (un)sustainability in Israel and Palestine. The starting point sees conflict resolution as an independent variable for any change and progress in the area, in terms of a political, just and credible agreement between the two parties, which will then play a decisive role in the development of the Mediterranean region. These developments and prospects for a solution are then evaluated on the basis of state (un)sustainability, a broad notion that refers to the possibilities for long-term development at the political, social and economic levels.

AttachmentSizeHitsLast download
MEDPRO TR No 5 WP2 Napolitano.pdf373.32 KB50545 days 7 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Mon, 06/06/2011
Author(s): 
Paolo Napolitano
Institutions: IAI

Political transition in Tunisia and Egypt

news_date: 
Mon, 23/05/2011

Two new MEDPRO papers explore the prospects for democratic transition in Tunisia and Egypt.

Egypt: Changes and Challenges of Political Transition

Hosni Mubarak’s regime and its power system enjoyed remarkable stability for over 30 years. On 11 February 2011, however, after 18 days of mass protests, the Egyptian president was forced to step down, revealing the unsustainability of the political and economic system that had ensured his continuity for so long. While the revolution of January 25th led to a major success – the fall of Mubarak – Egypt’s political future is still opaque and exposed to a number of risks.

AttachmentSizeHitsLast download
MEDPRO TR No 4 WP2 Paciello on Egypt.pdf481.2 KB30115 days 6 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Mon, 23/05/2011
Author(s): 
Maria Cristina Paciello
Institutions: IAI

Tunisia: Changes and Challenges of Political Transition

For 23 years, a combination of harsh repression and impressive socio-economic development in Tunisia ensured a certain level of stability of Ben Ali’s regime. However, on 14 January 2011, after several weeks of anti-government protests, the President fled the country, revealing the fallacy of the ‘Tunisian model’. While the departure of Ben Ali is an important step towards Tunisia’s political change, the fate of its democratic transition remains uncertain.

AttachmentSizeHitsLast download
MEDPRO TR No 3 WP2 Paciello on Tunisia.pdf399.57 KB91271 day 2 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Mon, 23/05/2011
Author(s): 
Maria Cristina Paciello
Institutions: IAI

Morocco at the Crossroads: Seizing the Window of Opportunity for Sustainable Development

The question of state sustainability is highly relevant in the case of Morocco.

AttachmentSizeHitsLast download
MEDPRO TP No 2 WP2 Colombo.pdf274.48 KB42455 hours 31 min ago
Date of publication: 
Thu, 14/04/2011
Author(s): 
Silvia Colombo
Institutions: IAI

MEDPRO Brussels Meeting

22/09/2011 09:30
23/09/2011 17:00
Location: 
CEPS
Speakers : 
MEDPRO Team members
Agenda
Description of event: 

During the next MEDPRO Scientific Workshop in Brussels the researchers will discuss their work progress in particular the reference and alternative scenarios in view of the recent upheavals in the south Mediterranean region.

Report