Policy brief

Scenarios Assessment and Transitions towards a Sustainable Euro-Mediterranean in 2030

In the aftermath of the 2011 Arab uprisings in the southern and eastern Mediterranean, the region has reached a turning point in its history, presenting as many opportunities as challenges. The European Union itself is facing challenging conditions following the financial and economic crises that have hit its periphery. This MEDPRO Policy Paper examines and assesses various possible scenarios that could play out in EU-Mediterranean relations over the next two decades and offers recommendations towards sustainable socio-economic development in the region.

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MEDPRO PP No 9 WP9 Ayadi and Sessa.pdf915.72 KB25911 day 1 hour ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 23/07/2013
Author(s): 
Rym Ayadi and Carlo Sessa
Institutions: CEPS, ISIS

Financial Sector Development and Integration in the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean: Towards a long-term sustainable transition

This MEDPRO Policy Paper examines the trends and prospects in financial-sector development and integration in the southern and eastern Mediterranean countries and concludes with an agenda for a long-term sustainable transition where finance turns to be a positive stimulus to long-term growth.

Rym Ayadi is Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) in Brussels and Coordinator of the MEDPRO project.

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MEDPRO PP No 7 WP6 Ayadi.pdf429.87 KB15272 days 1 hour ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 09/04/2013
Author(s): 
Rym Ayadi
Institutions: CEPS

Human Capital, Inequality and Migration in Southern and Eastern Mediterranean Countries: Towards a coherent policy agenda

The demographic and societal structures in southern and eastern Mediterranean countries are expected to undergo profound transformations in the future, calling for new public policies related to employment, human capital and mobility. In addition, the population projections of the MEDPRO project until 2030 have pointed to an increase in working-age populations. Against this background, the authors suggest policies to address challenges in education, inequality, social protection and migration.

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MEDPRO PP No 8 WP7 Ayadi.pdf437.28 KB16421 day 1 hour ago
Date of publication: 
Wed, 27/03/2013
Author(s): 
Rym Ayadi and Alia el Mahdi
Institutions: CEPS, FEPS

Perspectives in Resource Management and Climate Change Adaptation in the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean

This policy paper focuses on the sustainable management of some key natural resources in southern and eastern Mediterranean countries (SEMCs) under climate change and anthropogenic pressures. In a business-as-usual and even more so in a failed cooperation scenario, water resources, ecosystems and biodiversity in the region are under stress, with negative consequences for agriculture, food security, tourism and development. However, proper adaptation strategies are shown to be effective in reconciling resource conservation with GDP, trade and population growth.

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MEDPRO PP No 6 WP4a Bosello.pdf282.24 KB15723 days 1 hour ago
Date of publication: 
Fri, 22/03/2013
Author(s): 
Francesco Bosello, Nicola Lamaddalena, Daniel Osberghaus, Consuelo Varela Ortega
Institutions: FEEM, MAIB, ZEW, UPM

Population Scenarios and Policy Implications for Southern Mediterranean Countries, 2010-2050

In this MEDPRO Policy Paper, four population scenarios were derived that describe indicators of demographic behaviour for people living in different future political-economic contexts. The paper explores future trends in i) population growth at regional and national levels, ii) working age populations, and iii) elderly populations.

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MEDPRO PP No 5 WP3 Groenewold.pdf668.16 KB145712 hours 28 min ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 19/03/2013
Author(s): 
George Groenewold and Joop de Beer
Institutions: NIDI

Economic Development, Trade and Investment in Southern and Eastern Mediterranean Countries: An Agenda towards a Sustainable Transition

This policy paper spells out the policy recommendations that emerge from a series of detailed studies undertaken for MEDPRO Work Package 5 on “Economic development, trade and investment” and presents detailed recommendations for the SEMCs and the EU in the areas of macroeconomic management, trade, investment, private sector development and privatisation, and sectoral policies.

Marek Dabrowski and Luc De Wulf are Fellows at CASE (Center for Social and Economic Research) in Warsaw.

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MEDPRO Rep No 4 WP5 Dabrowski and De Wulf.pdf256.42 KB11361 day 8 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Fri, 22/02/2013
Author(s): 
Marek Dabrowski, Luc De Wulf
Institutions: CASE

A New Euro-Mediterranean Energy Roadmap for a Sustainable Energy Transition in the Region

This paper addresses the urgent need for a sustainable energy transition in the southern and eastern Mediterranean region. It analyses the unsustainable burden of universal energy subsidies and calls for new development paths unlocking the huge potential for low-cost energy efficiency and demand-side management as well as for renewable energy. It argues that a new structure of regional and interconnected energy markets is needed.

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MEDPRO PP No 3 WP4b Hafner and Tagliapietra.pdf470.87 KB138110 hours 57 min ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 19/02/2013
Author(s): 
Manfred Hafner, Simone Tagliapietra
Institutions: FEEM

What Scenarios for the Euro-Mediterranean in 2030 in the Wake of the Post-Arab spring?

In the wake of the Arab Spring, the Southern Mediterranean region has reached a turning point in its history, presenting many opportunities and challenges for the EU. In this MEDPRO Policy Paper, Rym Ayadi and Carlo Sessa explore various possible scenarios that could play out in EU-Mediterranean relations over the next two decades but find, lamentably, that the EU has set itself on a ‘business as usual’ course, leaving the region open to further polarisation and the involvement of other external players.

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MEDPRO PP No 2 WP9 Rym Ayadi and Carlo Sessa.pdf465.73 KB28821 day 13 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Fri, 21/10/2011
Author(s): 
Rym Ayadi and Carlo Sessa
Institutions: CEPS, ISIS

State (un)Sustainability in the Southern Mediterranean and Scenarios to 2030: The EU’s Response

In this first MEDPRO project Policy Paper, author Nathalie Tocci considers the concept of sustainability and how it is central to any understanding of Mediterranean politics. Too often confused with stability in policy debates in the Mediterranean region and the West, Tocci argues that not only are these two concepts distinct, with sustainability being broader and deeper than stability, but stability, as interpreted with regard to the regimes in the region, has often run counter to the very conditions that underpin state sustainability.

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MEDPRO PP No 1 WP2 Tocci_updated.pdf279.44 KB158814 hours 10 min ago
Date of publication: 
Mon, 08/08/2011
Author(s): 
Nathalie Tocci
Institutions: IAI