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Outlook for Oil and Gas in Southern and Eastern Mediterranean Countries

The aim of this report is to elaborate the MEDPRO Energy Reference Scenario for oil and gas supply and demand up to 2030 for southern and eastern Mediterranean countries. The report gives an assessment of

- oil and gas reserves by country;
- oil and gas production, domestic demand and export scenarios by country; and
- the existing and planned infrastructure for oil and gas exports.

Finally, the report presents some insights on the future role of the Mediterranean as an oil and gas transit region.

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MEDPRO TR No 18 WP4b Hafner et al.pdf5.21 MB28573 weeks 2 days ago
Date of publication: 
Fri, 09/11/2012
Author(s): 
Manfred Hafner, Simone Tagliapietra, El Habib El Elandaloussi
Institutions: FEEM

Measuring Returns to Education and Human Capital in the Southern Mediterranean

Measuring human capital has been a significant challenge for economists because the main variable of interest is intangible and not directly observable. In the Middle Eastern and Northern African region the task is further complicated by the general scarcity of comparable and reliable data.

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MEDPRO TR No 17 WP7 Arbak.pdf526.48 KB46335 hours 46 min ago
Date of publication: 
Fri, 05/10/2012
Author(s): 
Emrah Arbak
Institutions: CEPS

Outlook for Electricity and Renewable Energy in Southern and Eastern Mediterranean Countries

The aim of this report is to elaborate the MEDPRO Energy Reference Scenario for electricity demand and power generation (by energy source) in the southern and eastern part of the Mediterranean (MED-11 countries) up to 2030. The report assesses:

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MEDPRO TR No 16 WP4b Hafner et al.pdf7.74 MB234827 weeks 2 days ago
Date of publication: 
Wed, 03/10/2012
Author(s): 
Manfred Hafner, Simone Tagliapietra and El Habib El Andaloussi
Institutions: FEEM

Population Scenarios for South Mediterranean Countries: 2010-2050

This MEDPRO project report describes four population growth scenarios for 11 countries in the Mediterranean region, using the MEDPRO economic-political development framework to consider how indicators of fertility, mortality, and international migration might change if people in these countries were to live in different macro-economic and political contexts. The paper also reflects on the results obtained in light of recent political developments in the region.

Date of publication: 
Wed, 15/08/2012
Author(s): 
George Groenewold, Joop de Beer, Corina Huisman
Institutions: NIDI

EU Migration Policy in the wake of the Arab Spring: What prospects for EU-Southern Mediterranean Relations?

The outbreak of the Arab Spring and the unrest, revolution and war that followed during the course of 2011 have forced the EU to acknowledge the need to radically re-think its policy approach towards the Southern Mediterranean, including in the domain of migration.

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MEDPRO TR No 15 WP9 Carrera.pdf456.56 KB100452 days 6 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 07/08/2012
Author(s): 
Sergio Carrera, Leonhard den Hertog and Joanna Parkin
Institutions: CEPS

What can Arab Countries Learn from the Post‐Communist Transition?

More than a year has passed since the start of the political uprising against the authoritarian regimes in the Arab world. But, as demonstrated by the ongoing unrest in Syria, the process is far from over.

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MEDPRO Com No 1 WP5 Dabrowski.pdf236.01 KB241851 weeks 20 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Thu, 31/05/2012
Author(s): 
Marek Dabrowski
Institutions: CASE

Manufactured Exports and FDI in Southern Mediterranean Countries: Evolution, Determinants and Prospects

This paper investigates the evolution and determinants of manufactured exports and foreign direct investment (FDI) in 11 southern Mediterranean countries over the period 1985–2009 as well as their prospects under different scenarios pertaining to the development of the determinants. The econometric analysis confirms the role of exchange rate depreciation, the openness of the economy and the quality of institutions and infrastructure in fostering manufactured exports and FDI inflows in the region.

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MEDPRO TR No 14 WP5 Sekkat.pdf575.54 KB293919 hours 44 min ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 24/04/2012
Author(s): 
Khalid Sekkat
Institutions: FEMISE

The Role of Monetary Policies and Macroeconomic Convergence in the Development of Financial Systems in Southern Mediterranean Countries

This MEDPRO Technical Report shows that the monetary and exchange rate policies conducted by central banks in the South Mediterranean region display apparent homogeneity in their operational frameworks, albeit with some specificities and differing degrees of advancement.

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MEDPRO TR No 12 WP6 Mouley.pdf1.28 MB84471 day 19 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 10/04/2012
Author(s): 
Sami Mouley
Institutions: ITCEQ

Shallow vs. Deep Integration in the Southern Mediterranean: Scenarios for the region up to 2030

This research develops a quantitative analysis aimed at simulating the trade effects of various integration scenarios between the EU and its Mediterranean Partners (MPs). Results for shallow integration show that the completion of tariff removal is expected to produce limited gains, except in Algeria. However, further steps toward deep integration would lead to much more significant gains. In this regard, the elimination of non-tariff barriers is expected to increase EU exports to MPs up to 60%.

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MEDPRO TR 13 Ghoneim et al Shallow vs Deep Integration.pdf609.73 KB37652 hours 10 min ago
Date of publication: 
Thu, 29/03/2012
Author(s): 
Ahmed Farouk Ghoneim, Nicolas Péridy, Javier Lopez Gonzalez and Maximiliano Mendez Parra
Institutions: CASE

Challenges arising from Capital Account Liberalisation in the Countries of the South Mediterranean Region

This MEDPRO Technical Report confirms the importance of commercial openness and macroeconomic performance (i.e. the control of inflation and stability of current account balance and exchange rate) on growth dynamics in the south Mediterranean countries. In particular, the positive impact of capital account liberalisation is conditioned by the imperative reinforcement of institutional quality, country risk reduction, and government stability.

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MEDPRO TR No 11 WP6 Mouley.pdf1.02 MB53492 days 11 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Thu, 29/03/2012
Author(s): 
Sami Mouley
Institutions: ITCEQ