داخلية

Shallow vs. Deep Integration in the Southern Mediterranean: Scenarios for the region up to 2030

This research develops a quantitative analysis aimed at simulating the trade effects of various integration scenarios between the EU and its Mediterranean Partners (MPs). Results for shallow integration show that the completion of tariff removal is expected to produce limited gains, except in Algeria. However, further steps toward deep integration would lead to much more significant gains. In this regard, the elimination of non-tariff barriers is expected to increase EU exports to MPs up to 60%.

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MEDPRO TR 13 Ghoneim et al Shallow vs Deep Integration.pdf‏609.73 ك.بايت2125منذ سنة واحدة 6 أسابيع
تاريخ المطبوعة: 
Thu, 29/03/2012
المؤلف (المؤلفون): 
Ahmed Farouk Ghoneim, Nicolas Péridy, Javier Lopez Gonzalez and Maximiliano Mendez Parra
المؤسسة: CASE

Determinants of Growth and Inflation in Southern Mediterranean Countries

Despite significant economic reforms in many EU neighbouring countries in the Southern Mediterranean, their growth performance has on average been subdued. This study analyses the differences in growth performance and macroeconomic stability across Mediterranean countries, to draw lessons for the future. The main findings are that Southern Mediterranean countries should benefit from closer ties with the EU that result in higher levels of trade and FDI inflows, once the turbulence of the ‘Arab Spring’ is resolved, and from the development of financial markets and infrastructure.

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MEDPRO TR No 10 WP5 Coutinho.pdf‏693.04 ك.بايت1255منذ سنة واحدة 6 أسابيع
تاريخ المطبوعة: 
Fri, 16/03/2012
المؤلف (المؤلفون): 
Leonor Coutinho
المؤسسة: CCEIA

The EU-Turkey Customs Union: A Model for Future Euro-Med Integration

 

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MEDPRO TR No 9 WP5 Togan.pdf‏442.83 ك.بايت3022منذ سنة واحدة 6 أسابيع
تاريخ المطبوعة: 
Wed, 14/03/2012
المؤلف (المؤلفون): 
Sübidey Togan
المؤسسة: FEMISE

Algeria’s Failed Transitions to a Sustainable Polity: Coming to yet another Crossroads

Algeria is so far the only country in North Africa not to have experienced sustained mass protests calling for political change. The government in Algiers has by no means remained indifferent to the groundbreaking events in neighbouring countries, but it is responding to this sweeping wave of change at its own pace. This paper argues that, despite its apparent stability, the Algerian polity suffers from underlying currents of instability that risk undermining the long-term sustainability of the state.

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MEDPRO TR No 8 WP2 Darbouche.pdf‏457.53 ك.بايت1499منذ سنة واحدة 6 أسابيع
تاريخ المطبوعة: 
Fri, 28/10/2011
المؤلف (المؤلفون): 
Hakim Darbouche
المؤسسة:

What Scenarios for the Euro-Mediterranean in 2030 in the Wake of the Post-Arab spring?

In the wake of the unprecedented uprisings that brought to an end decades of repressive authoritarian rule, the Southern Mediterranean region has reached a turning point in its history, presenting many opportunities and challenges for the EU.

تاريخ المطبوعة: 
Fri, 21/10/2011
المؤلف (المؤلفون): 
Rym Ayadi and Carlo Sessa
المؤسسة: CEPS, ISIS

State (un)Sustainability in the Southern Mediterranean and Scenarios to 2030: The EU’s Response

In this first MEDPRO project Policy Paper, author Nathalie Tocci considers the concept of sustainability and how it is central to any understanding of Mediterranean politics. Too often confused with stability in policy debates in the Mediterranean region and the West, Tocci argues that not only are these two concepts distinct, with sustainability being broader and deeper than stability, but stability, as interpreted with regard to the regimes in the region, has often run counter to the very conditions that underpin state sustainability.

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MEDPRO PP No 1 WP2 Tocci.pdf‏377.91 ك.بايت1778منذ يومين 11 ساعة
تاريخ المطبوعة: 
Mon, 08/08/2011
المؤلف (المؤلفون): 
Nathalie Tocci
المؤسسة: IAI

Tourism in the Mediterranean: Scenarios up to 2030

Over the last two decades Morocco, Occupied Palestinian Territory, Syria, Tunisia and Turkey have recorded the highest growth rates in inbound world tourism. In the same period, domestic tourism in these countries also increased rapidly. MED 11 tourism performances have been astonishing, given the security risks, natural disasters, oil prices rises and economic uncertainties in the region. Even the last financial crisis had no severe impact on this growth, which confirmed the resilience of tourism and the huge potential of MED 11 countries in this sector.

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MEDPRO Rep No 1 WP5 Lanquar.pdf‏450.81 ك.بايت5348منذ 12 ساعة 31 دقيقة
تاريخ المطبوعة: 
Tue, 26/07/2011
المؤلف (المؤلفون): 
Robert Lanquar
المؤسسة: CASE

Syria and Lebanon: Diverging Paths of State Unsustainability

Any analysis of the prospects for stability and sustainability in the states of Syria and Lebanon reveals the strong ties that exist between these two countries and the impact of external influences on their overall development. Their trajectories, while starkly divergent in terms of the challenges confronting them at present, converge on a path of long-term unsustainability.

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MEDPRO TR No 6 WP2 Colombo.pdf‏249 ك.بايت1185منذ سنة واحدة 6 أسابيع
تاريخ المطبوعة: 
Thu, 23/06/2011
المؤلف (المؤلفون): 
Silvia Colombo
المؤسسة: IAI

Israel and Palestine and State (Un)Sustainability

This report explores the concept of state (un)sustainability in Israel and Palestine. The starting point sees conflict resolution as an independent variable for any change and progress in the area, in terms of a political, just and credible agreement between the two parties, which will then play a decisive role in the development of the Mediterranean region. These developments and prospects for a solution are then evaluated on the basis of state (un)sustainability, a broad notion that refers to the possibilities for long-term development at the political, social and economic levels.

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MEDPRO TR No 5 WP2 Napolitano.pdf‏343.09 ك.بايت1409منذ سنة واحدة 7 أسابيع
تاريخ المطبوعة: 
Mon, 06/06/2011
المؤلف (المؤلفون): 
Paolo Napolitano
المؤسسة: IAI

Egypt: Changes and Challenges of Political Transition

Hosni Mubarak’s regime and its power system enjoyed remarkable stability for over 30 years. On 11 February 2011, however, after 18 days of mass protests, the Egyptian president was forced to step down, revealing the unsustainability of the political and economic system that had ensured his continuity for so long. While the revolution of January 25th led to a major success – the fall of Mubarak – Egypt’s political future is still opaque and exposed to a number of risks.

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MEDPRO TR No 4 WP2 Paciello on Egypt.pdf‏481.2 ك.بايت1540منذ سنة واحدة 6 أسابيع
تاريخ المطبوعة: 
Mon, 23/05/2011
المؤلف (المؤلفون): 
Maria Cristina Paciello
المؤسسة: IAI